State budget projections up by about $400M
The Salt Lake Tribune
After years of austerity and budget slashing, Utah lawmakers will have several hundred million dollars to spend this year. But a long list of demands and deferred programs could eat up any extra money.
Gov. Gary Herbert’s Office announced the revenue projections Monday: An estimated $280 million from taxes on a growing economy, plus a one-time surplus of $128 million.
“When you consider what is happening nationally or in other states, the steady drum beat of positive economic news in Utah is certainly encouraging,” Herbert, who will release his budget proposal next month, said in a statement.
Despite the good economic news, the swelling budget will just barely cover an estimated $280 million growth in state programs, according to Ron Bigelow, the governor’s budget director.
“We’re going to try and fund a few little things here and there, but if you take health and human services and education, there’s not going to be a whole lot left over,” Bigelow said.
About 12,500 new students are expected to enter Utah schools, costing the state about $50 million. Enrollment in health insurance for children and the poor is growing, with costs for that program and services for people with disabilities expected to grow by between $100 million and $140 million, as well.
The state has also funded ongoing programs with about $52 million of money that will lapse at the end of the year. Filling that gap is a top priority with the new money.
The Legislature’s projected growth list is even longer, including $53 million in building maintenance and another $50 million in extra education costs.
Add in things like state employee health care and pension costs, which are expected to increase, and the list of programs that had to be funded could reach $500 million.
Last legislative session, lawmakers carved millions out of various program budgets, only to restore that money and an additional $263 million to the $12 billion state budget — still about $1 billion smaller than two years prior.
“We have good, steady growth, which is actually very positive,” Bigelow said. “There’s enough positive there that we still feel very comfortable with these numbers.”
House Speaker Becky Lockhart, R-Provo, said she is “cautiously optimistic,” because the numbers are only projections and vulnerable to changes in national trends.
“So much of what the federal government does affects our economy, things we don’t have control over, so we have to be really cautious about these numbers at this point,” she said.
Utah is also facing a debt crunch, nosing past 85 percent of the constitutional cap. So lawmakers are looking at using cash for about $85 million in projects instead of bonding to draw down that debt. Some of the $120 million surplus would be most likely used for those projects.
Lockhart said the chances are “probably pretty good” that the debt reduction will happen. “We’re pretty frugal about that,” she said. “We like to be able to pay for buildings and infrastructure with cash.”
Currently, there is about $1,200 in state debt for every resident, a total driven up by the billion-dollar Interstate-15 project in Utah County.


